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    • European Union

    Exclusive: Internal report shows EU fears losing Africa over Ukraine

    For all its candor, the report contains at times contradictory messages.

    By Vince Chadwick // 22 July 2022
    Photo by: European Union

    With Europe and Africa increasingly split over the war in Ukraine, European diplomats have argued in a confidential report for a more “transactional” approach to foreign aid that would tie funding for African countries to their willingness to work “based on common values and a joint vision.”

    The five-page document, overseen by Birgitte Markussen, the head of the European Union delegation to the African Union, with input from the heads of mission from EU countries in the Ethiopian capital of Addis Ababa, was circulated to diplomats in Brussels this week and seen by Devex.

    It provides a candid assessment of how those on the ground see the EU losing the battle for hearts and minds in Africa over the conflict — and what to do about it.

    On the one hand, the report calls for “understanding and empathy for African challenges, and willingness to help find concrete solutions.”

    But it also underlines that Europe is “the main indirect victim of [Russian President Vladimir] Putin’s war of aggression,” citing “dramatic consequences in all aspects (security, economic, financial, social, migration - 7 million refugees, unemployment).” And it opens the possibility of calibrating foreign aid from Europe according to Africa’s stance.

    “Becoming more transactional in our approach, we should be clear about the fact that the willingness of Europeans (governments and taxpayers) to maintain higher levels of financial engagement in African countries will depend on working based on common values and a joint vision,” the report reads.

    Despite billions of euros pledged to Ukraine, EU officials have so far said publicly that African countries will get the same amount of development assistance from the EU institutions as that initially agreed in their 2021-2027 country plans. However, the latest report points out that “it is clear that the longer the war will last, the less resources there will be.”

    ‘Critical juncture’

    The EU's summit of magical thinking on Africa

    A six-page final declaration touched on military training, Special Drawing Rights, migration, and more — but an intellectual property rights waiver and Africa's energy needs proved most controversial.

    Now is a “critical juncture” to improve the EU’s public and private messaging on the war, the report states, noting that Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov will travel to Addis Ababa from July 26-27 to meet with the AU Commission and AU member states, and to “prepare for a possible second Africa-Russia Summit in November.”

    After a long-delayed summit between EU and AU leaders in mid-February, relations between the two continents have cooled in recent months amid concerns from some African leaders that EU sanctions against Russia in response to Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine are exacerbating the global food crisis.

    Top EU officials have labored to dispel that idea.

    “This food crisis is not caused by the European restrictive measures,” EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell said at a meeting of the Group of 20 nations in Indonesia earlier this month. “The agricultural sector in Russia is not targeted. Our sanctions do not prohibit the import of Russian agricultural goods, or fertilizers, nor payment for such Russian exports.”

    But the latest report from Addis Ababa makes clear diplomats’ view that this message is not getting through.

    “The effects of EU sanctions on third countries need to be carefully assessed by experts, and factual information should be shared with diplomats,” the report states. “It is not enough to say that ‘EU sanctions are not responsible for the food crisis’, we need more substance and sharper LTTs [lines to take], including from EU Headquarters. Not only on sanctions, but also on cases where we have been accused of double standards and on the fact that the longer the war takes, the more our resources are going to be stretched.”

    Friction between the two continents was evident again Friday as a spokesperson for AU Commission Chairperson Moussa Faki tweeted that a deal to allow the export of grain from Black Sea ports was “the result of a direct appeal by the @_AfricanUnion at a … [meeting] with President Putin in Sochi. To which many disagreed at the time.”

    ‘Drifting further away’

    The diplomats’ report cites the Sochi meeting in early June as part of “a trend which seems to indicate that the AU and its Member States may be drifting further away from our position,” at least publicly.

    “The EU’s reputation as being a mediator, a peacemaker, is eroding due to the Union’s military assistance to Ukraine,” they write. “In Africa, the EU is seen as fuelling the conflict, not as a peace facilitator.”

    “Many AUMS [AU member states] do not identify an interest in taking sides in what they perceive as an ‘East-West’ conflict,” the report states. “The colonial and post-colonial legacies, including historical ties of a good range of countries with the Soviet Union and subsequently Russia, strongly influence mindsets and positions, as do perceived Western double standards. Furthermore, AUMS are concerned about Russian pressure on them.”

    However, the diplomats write that African countries are “seriously concerned by the impact of the war on food security incl. supply of fertilisers, energy and financial systems – i.e. stability in their countries - and are thus calling for a review of sanctions and negotiations towards a political solution to the war.”

    Against this backdrop, the report goes on to outline how to make the EU’s outreach to the AU and its member states on the consequences of the Ukraine war more “targeted, audible and effective.”

    ‘Lecturing should be ‘banned’’

    “African partners sometimes have the impression that the EU is lecturing them on values,” the diplomats write. “Lecturing should be ‘banned’. We must instead highlight that the defence of our values is of utmost importance, but also humbly acknowledge that it is at times complex, i.e. defending moral values vs. economic interests.”

    In addition, the diplomats write that “special attention should be given to African countries’ relationship not just with Russia, but also with China.

    “Relations with China are an important factor for some African countries, and they may pay extra attention to the way the war in Ukraine is viewed in Beijing.”

    For all its candor, the report contains at times contradictory messages.

    “EU Headquarters should provide clear data on the EU’s support and the weight of Europe-Africa relations,” the report advises. Elsewhere, it states, “We should pass frank messages to break free from being perceived mainly as a money provider.”

    Similarly, it warns of “the potential negative fallouts of being perceived as pressuring Africans to take sides, or prescribing them what to do,” while later advising on the need to “stress that if Africa has ambitions to become an important global player, including in the UNSC [United Nations Security Council], it has to discuss and take positions on non-African affairs.”

    For now, the report gives the impression that European diplomats would just be happy to be heard, given the risk the diplomats note that “focusing on Russia/Ukraine only will make Africans ‘turn down the volume’ and stop listening to us.”

    “Listening to each other in mutual respect is what close friends and strategic partners do,” the report states. “Although it is unlikely that EU and AU positions will converge on Ukraine at this point in time, all communication channels must remain wide open to foster mutual understanding and respect.”

    More reading:

    ► Urpilainen tells EU states to step up financing ahead of Africa summit

    ► Brussels aims to quell renewable energy tensions ahead of Africa summit

    ► Macron's plan for EU development finance in Africa

    • Trade & Policy
    • Ukraine
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    About the author

    • Vince Chadwick

      Vince Chadwickvchadw

      Vince Chadwick is a contributing reporter at Devex. A law graduate from Melbourne, Australia, he was social affairs reporter for The Age newspaper, before covering breaking news, the arts, and public policy across Europe, including as a reporter and editor at POLITICO Europe. He was long-listed for International Journalist of the Year at the 2023 One World Media Awards.

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